ECEARTH Frank Selten, Xueli Wang Wilco Hazeleger, Rein Haarsma,

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1 ECEARTH Frank Selten, Xueli Wang Wilco Hazeleger, Rein Haarsma,
Experiments and sensitivity runs Frank Selten, Xueli Wang Wilco Hazeleger, Rein Haarsma, Henk van den Brink,Pier Siebesma, Geert Lenderink, Peter van Velthoven, Alwin Haklander, Camiel Severijns

2 10-year integrations at ECMWF
Hindcasts with observed SSTs. Climatological SSTs - present climate - future climate (with future CO2 concentr.) Sensitivity experiments: - Cloud parameterizations - Land model parameterizations

3 Computational costs 10 year run CY31R1 T95L40 = 5.500 SBU
Budget of EC-Earth group at KNMI: : 218 runs Additional budgets by means of special projects

4 PrepIFS

5 XCdp

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8 Too warm Mediterranean summer temperatures.
This is known from RACMO limited area model which is forced by ERA-40 boundaries and has the same physics as IFS model. T2m temperatures in this area are sensitive to vegetation stress

9 Soil physics vegetation stress new Soil moisture standard

10 T2m 12 UTC August 1981 Effect of vegetation stress function in RACMO
Standard – New T2m 12 UTC August 1981

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15 Sensitivity for cloud parameters
No lateral entrainment of thermals in dry convective boundary layer Increased top entrainment for stratocumulus CMIP project

16 Effect of no lateral entrainment on precipitation

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21 SSTs of future climate are computed from AR4 simulations (selected set). SRES-A1 scenario 2080-2089.
SSTs of control run are computed from ERA-40 data set

22 Summary Model has significant statistical errors
Sensitivity runs to investigate origins of model errors. Results of RACMO are used to design these experiments. First GHG experiments are performed

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26 Oceaan model: OPA Huidige ocean-only configuratie:
Resolutie: 1/4 graad tripolar grid met 46 lagen. Forcering: DFS3 (4 uurlijkse ERA40 T, q en wind, dagelijkse neerwaarste straling uit CORE, neerslag DRAKKAR set 3) Duur (1958 t/m 2001): 2 maanden op 88 CPUs van SGI Altix CPUs voor genereren van hoge resolutie forcering files en conversie van de output naar NetCDF. Optionele koppeling met PISCES NPZD biogeochemie model Hindcast data beschikbaar voor gebruikers Vanaf mei 2007 grove resolutie OPA gekoppeld aan ECMWF-IFS atmosfeer. (System 4)

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32 Samengevat Model kent behoorlijke systematische fouten
Additionele specifieke simulaties en diagnostiek: - verandering bodemdikte/stress-functie - vertikale menging PBL minder - te laag warmtetransport door golven in stratosfeer Discussie via wiki pagina’s: ecearth.knmi.nl

33 Naast ‘tuning’ onderzoek
Onderzoek naar wolken feedback in IFS in het kader van CFMIP: ‘cloud feedback intercomparison project’ Onderzoek naar impact stochastische parameterisaties van niet-opgeloste schalen

34 Integrated Forecast System
Suite of different models Coupled using OASIS Experiments until now: IFS atmospheric model Tessel land model Prescribed SSTs Prescribed atmospheric chemical composition Inclusion of ocean mixed layer model with Q-flux Fully coupled with OPA ocean model Future experiments:

35 Today: System 3 OASIS4 OASIS2 OASIS4 Atmosphere: IFS Ocean: OPA
Ocean: HOPE Today: System 3 OASIS4 Atmosphere: IFS Ocean: OPA Sea-ice Land: IFS H-tessel Chemistry: TM5 Vegetation

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